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HORIZON - The Dark Secret of Hendrik Schön - questions and answers
This was a wake up call to me personally, this episode of Horizon basically described the collapse of the global economy being linked directly to Moore's Law. In other words there is a physical limit to the scale at which circuits can be built, once this limit is reached then an economic bottleneck or even collapse may come about. Technology is driving the global economy but once you reach a certain level, then the economy itself will have to change or as the program pointed out, we could end up in a 1920's/30's style Great Depression. This was a wake up call to me, not because anything being said was new to me personally, as I hope this eBook proves, but because the solution seemed to elude them.
In this book I have tried to point out both the problems, but also some of the solutions.
The great depression scenario is a very real possibility, but only if we are willing to cling to certain ideologies, we have to change the ideology or we will suffer the consequences, maybe not today, maybe not tomorrow, but some day. To think that we could all live with such technology and yet have poor people, is an ideological problem not a real problem.
This book is trying to show all the angles to this coming problem, it is not just a nanotech problem or even an A.I. problem it is combination of all the things covered in this eBook.
Plus you maybe thinking, so when will Moores Law come to an end - well as the man himself say's:-
Moores law will continue for at least another 10 years, according to Intel cofounder Gordon Moore, but it's going to take a lot of work. Stated at a conference, of top semiconductor researchers in February 2003, as I am writing this, it is Feb 2004 - does this mean we have 9 years before the big crash?
Of course Moore's Law coming to an end in 9 years is
really based on silicon manufacturing techniques, there is on the other hand,
many different approaches to future
chip production, but as I said, the closer we get to producing
systems that work at the same
scale as the human brain, the closer we will get to building systems
that become just as capable as we are and due to the capitalist ideology,
industry and business will use this technology so as to increase efficiency,
which in turn, means massive unemployment or a new approach to how we deal with
each over, will have to be sort?
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