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Creative Destruction

Serious people are examining the potential for disruption from molecular nanotechnology manufacturing. In the mainstream financial community, for example, there is growing recognition that nanotechnology represents a significant wave of innovation with the potential to restructure the economy. Here, for example, is an excerpt from an analysis prepared for investors by Credit Suisse First Boston:

Nanotechnology is a classic, general-purpose technology (GPT). Other General Purpose Technologies, include steam engines, electricity, railroads etc, these technologies have been the basis for major economic revolutions. GPTs typically start as fairly crude technologies, with limited uses, but then rapidly spread into new applications.

All prior GPTs have led directly to major upheavals in the economy—the process of creative destruction. And nanotechnology may be larger than any of the other GPTs that preceded it. Creative destruction is the process by which a new technology or product provides an entirely new and better solution, resulting in the complete replacement of the original technology or product. Investors should expect that creative destruction will not only continue, but will also likely accelerate, and nanotechnology will be at the core.

What does this mean from a practical standpoint? Because of the advent of nanotechnology, we believe new companies will displace a high percentage of today's leading companies. The majority of the companies in today's Dow Jones industrials Index are unlikely to be there 20 years from now.

(The above is excerpted with permission from "Big Money in Thinking Small", authored by Michael Mauboussin and Kristen Bartholdson.)


Along these same lines, Josh Wolfe of Lux Capital, editor of the Forbes/Wolfe Nanotech Report, writes:

Quite simply, the world is about to be rebuilt (and improved) from the atom up. That means tens of trillions of dollars to be spent on everything: clothing... food... cars... housing... medicine... the devices we use to communicate and recreate... the quality of the air we breathe... and the water we drink, are all about to undergo profound and fundamental change. And as a result, so will the socio and economic structure of the world. Nanotechnology will shake up just about every business on the planet.

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