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Section 4 / Page 112
The Consequences of the chain reaction
The consequences are quite clear; the coming changes combined with the current economic structures and people management systems will result in disaster, if this situation is allowed to carry on unchecked within a capitalist system. The world’s workforce will have no option but to revolt that’s if the chain reaction occurs. The powers that be may find themselves being thrust into a Tiananmen Square type situation. They could find themselves going up against their own people, so something will have to be done at the highest levels of government and globally because the chain reaction will spread out from wherever it starts. The authorities may find themselves very rapidly and very publicly bombarded from all sides and this time they will not be able to maintain control without the use of force to stop it. If the force required to stop it is excessive, then the chain reaction could speed up and civil war could be the end result. In China, the rest of the world condemned the force applied, so if a similar pressure is exerted or needed in the West, then the backlash could be overwhelming.
So if the powers that be, hope to stay in control of the chain reaction by using force to protect what they see as a major threat to their own power structures, then there is no way that use of force could be hidden, from the prying eyes of the mass media or more to the point, millions of people equipped with always on portable web cams. This could result in an even larger backlash and so once again feed the chain reaction and after the dust has settled, then who will end up winning and the simple answer is of course, nobody. If the economic policies and people management systems are not changed then the logic of my arguments are hard to deny and if you truly understand the coming technology, then you will see how global market forces will overtake government policies, just as they have done in the past. The past teaches us, that the masses are not always rational in the face of technological change.
As is outlined in this eBook, A.I. is not a hardware specific problem, it is a software engineering challenge. The companies producing this type of hardware and software etc, will want to push all of this newly and expensively developed stuff into the mass market, in order to recoup their development cost and to obviously make a profit. This profit will of course be used to help develop even more sophisticated hardware and software. These companies will have to become increasingly automated to keep down their production costs and overheads so allowing them to compete. This could lead to an ever-increasing problem that could lead to a critical mass type situation developing, that could then cause the uncontrolled global chain reaction. The problem is that nobody will be able to stop it once it begins. It will have to be prevented rather than reacted too, because once it starts it could happen so fast that no power structure will be able to respond fast enough to stop it. People run the world and it takes people time to adjust to any new situation or problem, it then takes time for them to think of a solution and implement it. So when a problem of this scale takes place, then the public will react first and think later. The powers that be will have to react to that reaction, so the situation could become very volatile very quickly. The powers that be may not have enough time to work out a solution and the public may not wait for that solution, so the public will accuse, blame, and then attack, what they see as the problem. Which invariably means the government and not the real problem, which in this case, will be market forces and technological developments beyond anybody’s control.
A lot of the people who live in the developed nations of the world, have this incredibly blinkered view that it could never happen to them, this view is perpetuated at every level of society, but if you look in the right places then you can already see the fraying at the edges of society. Society has created an underclass or should I say a menial workforce that has no real power base to protect it from the powers that be, that then exploit it.
The Internet and the VR markets of the future are a death nail in the coffin to certain types of high street stores and will lead to massive unemployment. The introduction of ever-smarter machines will result in people perceiving these things as a major threat to their livelihoods, so the backlash could be very severe, especially if current economic systems are left in place.
There are so many factors involved in the chain reaction scenario that it is impossible to see all of the angles, but one of the most crucial is the cost of training people. If an A.I. controlled worker is introduced to do a particular job, then it should already have been trained to do that job, sparing the employer and the state, the expense of any training. The off the shelf and quite possibly easy to download nature of these A.I. workers, into any standardised robot or hardware capable, will more than likely appeal to any business man or government agency looking to cut overheads. Obviously this will mean less work for humans.
For example, to train a fighter pilot in the UK costs the tax payer around ten million pounds, so economically speaking if you can replace a thousand pilots with A.I. pilots that are just as capable, then that's a hell of a lot of money that could be cut from the defence budget. Also the average A.I. pilot is less likely to sue the government for post traumatic stress dissuader etc. This once again adds to the unemployment problem, i.e. totally automated weapons platforms = less people being needed by all of the armed forces. As this example shows, a robotic / A.I. workforce could become a hell of a lot cheaper to employ and train, compared to the average human. Also the time to market problem, will mean that bad A.I. systems are bound to get released, especially if competition, economic pressures and market forces dictate the introduction of such systems. It is just a dammed scary prospect all round if you ask me.
The world is about to
change in a fundamental way and if
the powers that be
don’t do something about the coming changes, then they may find themselves no
longer being the powers
that be, this should be seen as a warning. As I have said before, I am not
an anarchist just somebody who is genuinely concerned about the future and the
coming transition. If we keep carrying on the way we are going and do nothing to
prevent it, then the chain reaction will occur and everybody will suffer the
consequences. I just hope parts of this eBook do not become
prophetic, rather than a warning.
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